This is a gun vs. gun setup where the first shot must precede any hard claiming (even claims of town or mafia side). In most cases, either party shooting randomly first gives a <50% chance to win, but any role reads drastically change the advantage of shooting first. After the first shot you may need to claim (or not claim) in a very specific way to optimize your chances, and that may be very different than what you were hinting at pre-shot... so watch what you say! The [n1K] strategy sections contain the ideal win % for each first shot possible. The math should be *mostly* good.